Predicting Post-Stroke Aphasia Speech Performance from Multimodal Data with Explainable Machine Learning
Abstract
Aphasia, an acquired language deficit, is the most common post-stroke focal cognitive impairment, and roughly 60% cases become chronic (duration >6 months). Aphasia therapies could be optimized if clinicians could make personalized predictions of how individual persons with aphasia (PWA) would be likely to perform on particular language tasks. However, current approaches relying on imaging, lesion volume, patient demographics, and clinical scores achieve less than 50% accuracy in predicting performance in PWA. Research algorithms using complex imaging and fMRI can make binary predictions about the presence or absence of aphasia but do not give more clinically relevant information. We aim to predict word-by-word speech accuracy in PWA to better enable personalized speech therapies. To be clinically informative, machine learning models developed for this purpose should use clinically available inputs, explain key features behind a prediction, and generalize to new PWA and previously unseen words. This study combines multimodal input features from clinical testing scores and structural MRI neuroimaging with a novel data source: word-by-word linguistic difficulty. We computed metrics of cognitive burden, such as semantic selection and recall demands, and articulatory burden, such as word length in phonemes and syllables, using naturalistic corpora containing over a billion words of English text. Retrospective training, ten-fold cross validation and 500-run bootstrapping of…
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