Evidence Hub

Diffusion model-enhanced patella shape analysis predicts knee osteoarthritis progression and surgical replacement risk

Sing Hin Lau

PolyU Institutional Research Archive (Hong Kong Polytechnic University)

Abstract

Patellofemoral osteoarthritis (OA) is a significant contributor to knee OA symptoms and functional impairments, with early morphological changes often originating in the patellofemoral joint. To facilitate early interventions in knee OA management, there is a pressing need for prognostic artificial intelligence (AI) models that can accurately forecast and explain the risk of disease deterioration. Recent studies have demonstrated the benefits of incorporating image generative models as an intermediate step in predicting knee OA progression from radiographs. Building on the remarkable advancements in image generation quality of diffusion models, this study presents a novel approach to knee OA prognosis using synthetic follow-up patella shapes for patella shape analysis. Our pipeline commences with a two-step patella segmentation model, achieving high accuracy (Dice score: 0.973, IoU: 0.947) in extracting precise patella masks from lateral knee radiographs. We then employ a diffusion model to predict patella shape trajectories over a 60-month period, conditioned on baseline patella masks. This model generates synthetic follow-up patella shapes that capture future morphological changes associated with OA progression. To predict knee OA outcomes, we developed a specialized 2-channel 1D-CNN with circular padding, incorporating both baseline and synthetic follow-up patella shapes to predict key outcomes of disease onset and end-stage. Our results demonstrate the significant…

Read the paper

Related studies

Go deeper in Evidence Hub

Evidence Hub adds a study data sheet (design, sample size, evidence level, key numbers), an AI summary and a chat grounded in the paper's text.

Open this study Sign up free