In Silico clinical trial to predict the efficacy of hip protectors for preventing hip fractures
Abstract
Osteoporosis is characterized by loss of bone mineral density and increased fracture risk. Reduction of hip fracture incidence is of major clinical importance. Hip protectors aim to attenuate the impact force transmitted to the femur upon falling, however different conclusions on their efficacy have been reported; some authors suggest this may be due to differences in compliance. The aim of this study was to apply an In Silico trial methodology to predict the effectiveness of hip protectors and its dependence on compliance. A cohort of 1044 virtual patients (Finite Element models of proximal femur) were generated. A Markov chain process was implemented to predict fracture incidence with and without hip protectors, by simulating different levels of compliance. At each simulated follow-up year, a Poisson distribution was randomly sampled to determine the number of falls sustained by each patient. Impact direction and force were stochastically sampled from a range of possible scenarios. The effect of wearing a hip protector was simulated by applying attenuation coefficients to the impact force (12.9 %, 19 % and 33.8 %, as reported for available devices). A patient was considered fractured when impact force exceeded the femur strength. Without hip protector, virtual patients experienced 66 ± 5 fractures in 10 years. Wearing the three devices, fracture incidence was reduced to 43 ± 4, 35 ± 4 and 17 ± 2 respectively, at full compliance. As expected, effectiveness was dependent on…
How strong is the evidence?
Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 1,044 participants or records.
Read the paper
Related studies
- Development of a crushable foam model for human trabecular bone
- Data-driven motion compensation in HR-pQCT.
- Modeling of structure, quality, and function in the orthodontic patient
- Exploring the mechanism of Heidihuang Pill in the treatment of osteoporosis based on network pharmacology, molecular docking, and experimental validation
- Effect of fabric on the accuracy of computed tomography-based finite element analyses of the vertebra
- Use of interventions involving virtual reality tasks during the climacteric: a systematic review
Go deeper in Evidence Hub
Evidence Hub adds a study data sheet (design, sample size, evidence level, key numbers), an AI summary and a chat grounded in the paper's text.