Predictors for Unsuccessful Outcome of Lumbar Spinal Stenosis Surgery: A Secondary Analysis of the 2 Randomized NORDSTEN Trials
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate potential predictors of unsuccessful outcomes after surgery in patients with lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS).
SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: LSS is a common cause of disability in adults and the leading indication for spine surgery in Norway. Despite advances in surgical techniques, nearly one-third of patients report either minor or no improvement or worsening of symptoms after surgery. Identifying predictors of unsuccessful outcomes is essential for improving patient selection and shared decision-making.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: This secondary analysis used data from the 2 NORwegian Degenerative spondylolisthesis and spinal STENosis (NORDSTEN) randomized trials, which included 704 surgically treated patients with LSS, with (n=267) or without (n=437) degenerative spondylolisthesis. The Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) was the primary outcome measure. A reduction in ODI score of <30% from baseline to 2 years postoperatively was defined as an unsuccessful outcome. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate whether carefully selected baseline variables were associated with an unsuccessful outcome at 2-year follow-up.
RESULTS: Longer duration of radiating pain (>12 mo; OR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.54-4.29), psychological distress (HSCL-25 ≥1.75; OR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.01-2.53), and advanced disc degeneration (Pfirrmann grades 4-5; OR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.26-3.12) were independently associated with an unsuccessful…
How strong is the evidence?
Evidence Hub reads this as a secondary / pooled analysis, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 704 participants or records.
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