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Re-Analyzing the EMPACT-MI Trial: A Pairwise Comparison Study of Empagliflozin After Heart Attack

Anar Mammadli

Vivli, 2026

6,522 participants

Abstract

We will study whether a different way of analyzing trial results changes the conclusion about whether empagliflozin helps people recover after a heart attack. A heart attack happens when blood flow to part of the heart is suddenly blocked, usually by a clot in one of the heart's arteries and can damage the heart muscle within hours. Some people recover well, but others go on to develop a chronic condition called heart failure. Heart failure is different from a heart attack: it is a long-term condition in which the heart muscle — often weakened by a previous heart attack — can no longer pump blood effectively. People with heart failure may feel breathless, get tired easily, retain fluid in their legs and lungs, and need repeated hospital stays. Heart attacks affect millions of people each year, and preventing the heart failure that can follow them would benefit many patients and families. We will focus on the EMPACT-MI trial, which enrolled 6,522 patients in 22 countries and tested empagliflozin, a medicine first used for diabetes that also protects the heart. The trial asked whether the drug could reduce a combined outcome of heart failure hospitalizations and death after a recent heart attack. Using the standard analysis — which counts only the first event a patient experiences and treats heart failure hospitalization and death as equally important — the trial did not meet its main goal. However, the same data showed fewer heart failure hospitalizations with empagliflozin,…

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