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Polycythemia, SGLT2 inhibitors, and associated outcomes across the cardio-kidney-metabolic spectrum: a pooled analysis of randomized trials

Pedro Marques, F. Vasques-Nóvoa, Mariana Pintalhão, R. Bergantim, Luís Mendonça, J. Neves, F. Friões, Abhinav Sharma et al.

European journal of internal medicine, 2026

26,064 participants

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) use increase hemoglobin, and some patients may develop or aggravate polycythemia. Whether the presence or development of polycythemia impact the cardiorenal benefits of SGLT2i across different cardio-kidney-metabolic (CKM) populations is unknown.

AIMS

Assess the proportion of patients with polycythemia both at baseline and during follow-up, study the risk factors for its occurrence, and whether the SGLT2i effect may vary by polycythemia status.

METHODS

Pooled analysis of placebo-controlled trials: EMPEROR-Preserved, EMPEROR-Reduced, EMPA-REG OUTCOME, CANVAS-R, and CREDENCE. Polycythemia was defined as a hemoglobin>16.5g/dL in men or >16.0g/dL in women. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models were applied, stratified by trial, to study the association of polycythemia at baseline and week 52 on clinical outcomes, including treatment-by-polycythemia interaction. Primary outcome was the composite of non-fatal stroke or myocardial infarction or cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

26,064 patients were included with 723 (2.8%) and 1,324 (6.3%) presenting polycythemia at baseline and 52 weeks, respectively. Smoking and obstructive lung disease associated with polycythemia at baseline, and randomization to SGLT2i (vs placebo) associated with a 6-fold increased risk of polycythemia at week-52 (OR 6.44 95%CI 5.42-7.65). Polycythemia (vs no polycythemia) at baseline and week-52 was associated with an increased risk of the primary…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a secondary / pooled analysis, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 26,064 participants or records.

How the five levels of evidence work. The level is assigned automatically from the abstract and can be wrong, so check the paper.

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