Hi3 + 3: A model-assisted dose-finding design borrowing historical data
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In phase I clinical trials, historical data may be available through multi-regional programs, reformulation of the same drug, or previous trials for a drug under the same class. Statistical designs that borrow information from historical data can reduce cost, speed up drug development, and maintain safety.
PURPOSE: Based on a hybrid design that partly uses probability models and partly uses algorithmic rules for decision making, we aim to improve the efficiency of the dose-finding trials in the presence of historical data, maintain safety for patients, and achieve a level of simplicity for practical applications.
METHODS: We propose the Hi3+3 design, in which the letter "H" represents "historical data". We apply the idea in power prior to borrow historical data and define the effective sample size (ESS) of the prior. Dose-finding decision rules follow the idea in the i3+3 design (Liu et al., 2020 [1]) while incorporating the historical data via the power prior and ESS. The proposed Hi3+3 design pretabulates the dosing decisions before the trial starts, a desirable feature for ease of application in practice.
RESULTS: In most cases we investigated, the Hi3+3 design is superior than the i3+3 design due to information borrow from historical data. Even when the historical data is incompatible with the current data, it is capable of maintaining a high level of safety for trial patients and comparable performances without sacrificing the ability to identify the correct…
Read the paper
Related studies
- Comparison of the Effects of Glucagon-Like Peptide Receptor Agonists and Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors for Prevention of Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cardiovascular Outcomes Trials
- Efficacy of personalized psychological interventions: A systematic review and meta-analysis
- Effects of Lifestyle Interventions That Include a Physical Activity Component in Class II and III Obese Individuals: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
- Blood pressure lowering and risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes: an individual participant data meta-analysis
- Topical treatments for atopic dermatitis (eczema): systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized trials
- Comparative efficacy and tolerability of pharmacological interventions for acute bipolar depression in adults: a systematic review and network meta-analysis
Go deeper in Evidence Hub
Evidence Hub adds a study data sheet (design, sample size, evidence level, key numbers), an AI summary and a chat grounded in the paper's text.