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Modeling diagnostic code dropout of schizophrenia in electronic health records improves phenotypic data quality and cross-ancestry transferability of polygenic scores

Burstein D, Tomasi S, Venkatesh S, VA Million Veteran Program, Rizk M, Roussos P, Voloudakis G

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025

12,739 participants

Abstract

IMPORTANCE: Researchers commonly use counts of diagnostic codes from EHR-linked biobanks to infer phenotypic status. However, these approaches overlook temporal changes in EHR data, such as the discontinuation or "dropout" of diagnostic codes, which may exacerbate disparities in genomics research, as EHR data quality can be confounded with demographic attributes.

OBJECTIVE: To address this, we propose modeling diagnostic code dropout in EHR data to inform phenotyping for schizophrenia in genomic analyses.

DESIGN: We develop and test our diagnostic dropout model by analyzing EHR data from individuals with prior schizophrenia diagnoses. We further validate model performance on a subset of patients whose diagnoses were attained through chart review. Using PRS-CS and existing GWAS summary statistics, we first extrapolate polygenic weights. Then, we apply our dropout model's outputs to construct a data-driven filter defining our target cohort for measuring polygenic score performance.

SETTING: Our analysis utilizes EHR and genomic data from the Million Veteran Program.

PARTICIPANTS: To model diagnostic dropout in schizophrenia, we leverage data from 12,739 patients with a history of schizophrenia, after excluding outliers. For polygenic score analyses, we incorporate data from a potential pool of 8,385 European ancestry and 6,806 African ancestry patients with a history of schizophrenia.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We compare the performance of our diagnostic dropout model with…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 12,739 participants or records.

How the five levels of evidence work. The level is assigned automatically from the abstract and can be wrong, so check the paper.

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