Predictive value of lesions for relapses in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Recent studies have suggested that enhancing lesions on contrast-enhanced T1-weighted MR images are predictive of impending exacerbations in cases of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. We examined whether enhancing lesions, new enhancing lesions, and new hypointense lesions ("black holes") could accurately predict exacerbations in a cohort of 50 patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis within a time frame of up to 6 months.
METHODS: Data were obtained from 50 patients with relapsing-remitting disease. All patients underwent monthly MR imaging and clinical examinations for a period of 12 months. Putative predictors of clinical relapse were defined from enhancing lesions, new enhancing lesions, and new black hole outcomes, and their operating characteristics were studied.
RESULTS: Overall, the positive predictive values (PV+) of enhancing lesions, new enhancing lesions, or new black holes for an exacerbation did not exceed 0.25 and the negative predictive values (PV-) were all near 0.9. The best predictor for new enhancing lesions was the occurrence of new enhancing lesions in each of the previous 3 months (PV+: 0.79 [95% confidence interval, 0.651-0.900]; PV-: 0.83 [95% confidence interval, 0.751-0.887]). Similarly, new black holes were predicted best by the occurrence of new black holes in each of the previous 2 months (PV+: 0.54 [95% confidence interval: 0.372-0.697]; PV-: 0.85 [95% confidence interval, 0.790-0.896]).
CONCLUSION:…
How strong is the evidence?
Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 50 participants or records.
Read the paper
Related studies
- A Survey on Knowledge Graphs: Representation, Acquisition, and Applications
- Toxicity of nanomaterials
- The Human Gene Mutation Database: towards a comprehensive repository of inherited mutation data for medical research, genetic diagnosis and next-generation sequencing studies
- Halogen bonding (X‐bonding): A biological perspective
- Biofilm formation at the air–liquid interface by the Pseudomonas fluorescens SBW25 wrinkly spreader requires an acetylated form of cellulose
- Opioid Activation of Toll-Like Receptor 4 Contributes to Drug Reinforcement
Go deeper in Evidence Hub
Evidence Hub adds a study data sheet (design, sample size, evidence level, key numbers), an AI summary and a chat grounded in the paper's text.