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Comorbidities and mortality in subgroups of adults with diabetes with up to 14 years follow-up: a prospective cohort study in Sweden

O. Asplund, Manonanthini Thangam, Rashmi B. Prasad, Carl Lejonberg, O. Ekström, L. Hakaste, J. G. Smith, A. Rosengren et al.

The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology, 2025

7,905 participants · 11 citations

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Subgroups of adult-onset diabetes, namely severe autoimmune diabetes (SAID), severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), and mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD) or mild age-related (MARD) diabetes, have been defined with clinical variables and a machine-learning approach. Our aim was to describe their long-term outcomes and mortality.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study in Sweden, we used data from two subsets of the All New Diabetics in Scania (ANDIS) project cohort of individuals diagnosed with diabetes at regional care centres and enrolled within 1 year of diagnosis. Included participants were 18 years or older, did not have pancreatitis, and had complete data for cluster variables. We used GAD antibodies, Homeostasis Model Assessment 2 β cell and insulin resistance indices, BMI, HbA1c, and age at the diagnosis of diabetes to group individuals, and logistic and Fine-Gray proportional hazards regression to study prevalent and incident comorbidities, using the MARD group as comparator.

FINDINGS

Between Jan 1, 2008, and Nov 3, 2016, for ANDIS1 and Nov 4, 2016, and April 6, 2022, for ANDIS2, a total of 25 590 were screened for eligibility, resulting in 19 076 participants being included in the analysis (9057 from ANDIS1 and 10 019 from ANDIS2; 11 171 men and 7905 women). The median follow-up time was 9·63 years (IQR 4·05) in ANDIS1 and 2·83 years (2·76) in ANDIS2. The SAID and SIDD subgroups had the highest HbA1c values…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 7,905 participants or records.

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