Ambient Fine Particulate Matter Air Pollution and Risk of Weight Gain and Obesity in United States Veterans: An Observational Cohort Study
Abstract
Background: Experimental evidence and studies of children and adolescents suggest that ambient fine particulate matter [particulate matter ≤2.5μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5)] air pollution may be obesogenic, but the relationship between PM2.5 and the risk of body weight gain and obesity in adults is uncertain. Objectives: Our goal was to characterize the association between PM2.5 and the risks of weight gain and obesity. Methods: We followed 3,902,440 U.S. Veterans from 2010 to 2018 (median 8.1 y, interquartile range: 7.3–8.4) and assigned time-updated PM2.5 exposures by linking geocoded residential street addresses with satellite-based estimates of surface-level PM2.5 mass (at ∼1-km2 resolution). Associations with PM2.5 were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models for incident obesity [body mass index (BMI)≥30 kg/m2] and a 10-lb increase in weight relative to baseline and linear mixed models for associations with intra-individual changes in BMI and weight. Results: A 10-μg/m3 higher average annual PM2.5 concentration was associated with risk of incident obesity [n=2,325,769; hazard ratio (HR)=1.08 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.11)] and the risk of a 10-lb (4.54 kg) increase in weight [HR=1.07 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.08)] and with higher intra-individual changes in BMI [0.140 kg/m2 per year (95% CI: 0.139, 0.142)] and weight [0.968 lb/y (95% CI: 0.955, 0.981)]. Nonlinear exposure–response models indicated associations at PM2.5 concentrations below the national standard of 12 μg/m3.…
How strong is the evidence?
Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 2,325,769 participants or records.
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