Evidence Hub

The Effect of Medical Therapies for Subthreshold Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth and Mortality: A Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Lu PYJ, Seth I, Fung CHC, Varcoe R, Rozen W, Joseph K

Interdisciplinary cardiovascular and thoracic surgery, 2026

3,084 participants

Abstract

Objectives: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is often fatal when ruptured, and current guidelines suggest surgical management at suprathreshold sizes (50 mm for women or 55 mm for men) or with rapid expansion (>5 mm/year). Many medical therapies have been assessed for reducing subthreshold AAA expansion, though the evidence remains inconclusive. This network meta-analysis (NMA) compares AAA growth and mortality amongst medical treatments for AAAs.

Methods: MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, Web of Science, EBSCO, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) from database inception to 2024. Outcomes assessed included AAA growth rate, rate of referral for aneurysm surgery, overall mortality, and discontinuation from adverse effects. Data were analysed using R software, and P-score were used to rank different treatments. The GRADE framework was performed to assess the quality of evidence.

Results: Thirteen RCTs comprising 3084 patients were included in this NMA. Abdominal aortic aneurysm diameters ranged from 3.1 to 4.6 cm in the intervention group and 3.5-4.5 cm in the placebo group. Study-level mean annual growth rate ranged from 1.2 to 2.8 mm/year in the intervention group compared with placebo (1.2-2.6 mm/year). There were no significant differences in AAA growth among the compared groups (P-score probability in brackets): propranolol (0.73), telmisartan (0.66), antibiotics (0.53), placebo (0.53), ACE inhibitors (0.52), ticagrelor…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a meta-analysis, done in people. Its evidence level is 1 of 5 (Highest · pooled evidence). Pooled evidence from several studies sits at the top of the evidence pyramid. Reported size: 3,084 participants or records.

How the five levels of evidence work. The level is assigned automatically from the abstract and can be wrong, so check the paper.

Read the paper

Related studies

Go deeper in Evidence Hub

Evidence Hub adds a study data sheet (design, sample size, evidence level, key numbers), an AI summary and a chat grounded in the paper's text.

Open this study Sign up free