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Exploration of body mass index and circulating metabolic factors as predictors of metformin benefit in the Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.32

Goodwin PJ, Ennis M, Chen BE, Gelmon KA, Whelan TJ, Ligibel JA, Thompson AM, Shepherd LE et al.

JNCI cancer spectrum, 2026

3,649 participants

Abstract

Background: In the MA.32 randomized adjuvant breast cancer trial, metformin (vs placebo) did not impact invasive disease-free survival or overall survival in estrogen and/or progesterone receptor-positive or -negative breast cancer; exploratory analyses suggested a benefit in HER2-positive breast cancer. We investigated whether body mass index (BMI) and obesity-associated blood variables predicted metformin benefit in immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes (luminal [estrogen/progesterone receptor positive, HER2 negative], triple-negative breast cancer [estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER2 negative], HER2 positive).

Methods: A total of 3649 nondiabetic patients with high risk T1-3, N0-3, M0 breast cancer were randomly assigned. Baseline fasting plasma was assayed for insulin, glucose, leptin, and C-reactive protein; Homeostasis Model Assessment was calculated. For each breast cancer subtype and each outcome (distant recurrence free survival, overall survival, invasive disease-free survival), Cox models examined interactions of BMI and blood variables with metformin vs placebo outcomes.

Results: Mean age was 51.1-53.0 years; mean BMI was 27.3-27.5 kg/m2. Most cancers were T2, N0, or N1 and grade 2-3; 2104 (57.7%) were luminal, 925 (25.3%) TN, and 620 (17.0%) HER2 positive. Median follow-up was 95.9 months. In luminal breast cancer, statistically significant interactions were identified for leptin, insulin, and Homeostasis Model Assessment on distant…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a randomized trial, done in people. Its evidence level is 2 of 5 (High · randomized trial). Randomized trials of a reasonable size are the strongest single-study design. Reported size: 3,649 participants or records.

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