Risk of cancer incidence and mortality in patients with chronic pain: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Abstract
Evidence from experimental studies suggests that pain may influence cancer development. We conducted a systematic review (registration osf.io/ms437) of the epidemiological studies assessing whether chronic pain, with minimal or non-inflammatory features, increases the risk of cancer incidence or mortality. The search used Scopus and Web of Science up to 11/03/2025. Quality assessment used the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Study characteristics and outcomes were analysed using narrative synthesis, with random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regression conducted where appropriate. A total of 23 studies (12 prospective, 11 retrospective) met the inclusion criteria, of which six were rated as high quality. The outcome data synthesis indicates a small increase in cancer mortality rate ratios, and a potential increase in a subset of organs. A total of three body site-specific analyses suggest that chronic pain may be associated with higher incidence for breast (SIR 2.12-4.8) and prostate (SIR 1.49-5.59) cancers, and with increased mortality for lung cancer (MRR 3.09, 95% CI 1.45-6.62). Ten studies were included for meta-analysis, including four studies rated as high quality. Meta-analysis of hazard ratios showed no association between cancer-related mortality and pain (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.97-1.04), with consistent estimates across pain subtypes in meta-regression. Our review and meta-analysis do not support an overall association between chronic pain and increased risk of cancer mortality…
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