Seismicity and Principal Seismic Effects
Abstract
A statistical method is given for estimating the total effect of earthquakes over a given period. The effect may be measured by return-time, shaking or damage, and may be exerted at a point (e.g. building), on a linear object (e.g. road), or on an area. For each type of effect there are given formulae for the statistical distribution, with mean, standard deviation and confidence limits. The theory outlined in this paper is applied to data from the Baikal seismic belt in Eastern Siberia and some other data.
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