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Metabolomics Profiles and Prognostic Biomarkers in Sepsis Survivors and Nonsurvivors

Jing Xu, Zhou Huang, He Li, Xiao-Tong Han, Yan-Juan Liu, Xing-Wen Zhang, Jin-Cheng Li, Jie Yang et al.

Journal of Surgical Research, 2026

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Sepsis imposes an overwhelming global critical care burden, contributing to an estimated 49 million annual deaths worldwide. Although multiple sepsis-related metabolic profiles have been characterized in prior research, no metabolomic biomarkers have yet entered routine clinical prognostic practice. This study aimed to identify actionable serum metabolite biomarkers to stratify 28-d mortality risk among adult sepsis patients.

METHODS

We performed high-resolution untargeted serum metabolomics to profile molecular signatures across three cohorts: 60 sepsis nonsurvivors, 60 sepsis survivors, and 20 age- and sex-matched healthy controls (HCs). Supervised partial least squares discriminant analysis implemented via MetaboAnalyst 5.0 was used to screen differential circulating metabolites. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis quantified the predictive performance of candidate metabolites for sepsis mortality. The correlations between differential metabolite concentrations and clinical laboratory/severity indices were analyzed using R software.

RESULTS

Partial least squares discriminant analysis models demonstrated clear metabolic separation among HCs, sepsis survivors, and nonsurvivors. Pairwise comparison identified 1092 differential metabolites between survivors and HCs, 757 metabolites between survivors and nonsurvivors, and 1230 metabolites between nonsurvivors and HCs. A core set of 200 mortality-linked metabolites was enriched in five canonical Kyoto…

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