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Comparative efficacy of tirzepatide and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Shokravi A, Seth J, Mancini GBJ

Cardiovascular diabetology, 2026

1 citation

Abstract

Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely used therapies for cardiovascular risk reduction in type 2 diabetes (T2D). With the emergence of the SURPASS-CVOT trial, tirzepatide (a dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist) has entered the therapeutic landscape; however, its comparative effect on cardiovascular outcomes compared to placebo and individual GLP-1RAs remains undefined.

Methods: We conducted a systematic review and frequentist network meta-analysis (NMA) of RCTs enrolling adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high cardiovascular (CV) risk. Eligible RCTs evaluated tirzepatide or GLP-1RAs and reported major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), CV mortality, all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) or non-fatal stroke. A class-level NMA was conducted to estimate the incremental benefit of tirzepatide and GLP-1RAs over placebo, and an agent-level NMA was conducted to explore differences between tirzepatide and individual GLP-1RA agents. Subgroup analyses, including established cardiovascular disease populations, and leave-one-out sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results: Eleven trials met inclusion criteria (10 GLP-1RA trials and 1 tirzepatide trial [SURPASS-CVOT]). In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI…

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