Gut microbiome model predicts response to neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Accurate evaluation of the response to preoperative treatment enables the provision of a more appropriate personalized therapeutic schedule for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), which remains an enormous challenge, especially neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemoradiotherapy (nICRT).
METHODS
This prospective, multicenter cohort study enrolled patients with LARC from 6 centers who received nICRT. The dynamic variation in the gut microbiome during nICRT was evaluated. A species-level gut microbiome prediction (SPEED) model was developed and validated to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) to nICRT.
FINDINGS
A total of 50 patients were enrolled, 75 fecal samples were collected from 33 patients at different time points, and the pCR rate reached 42.4% (14/33). Lactobacillus and Eubacterium were observed to increase after nICRT. Additionally, significant differences in the gut microbiome were observed between responders and non-responders at baseline. Significantly higher abundances of Lachnospiraceaebacterium and Blautiawexlerae were found in responders, while Bacteroides, Prevotella, and Porphyromonas were found in non-responders. The SPEED model showcased a superior predictive performance with areas under the curve of 98.80% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 95.67%-100%) in the training cohort and 77.78% (95% CI: 65.42%-88.29%) in the validation cohort.
CONCLUSIONS
Programmed death 1 (PD-1) blockade plus concurrent long-course CRT showed a favorable pCR…
How strong is the evidence?
Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 50 participants or records.
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