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Performance of the Self-Controlled Case Series With Active Comparators for Drug Safety Signal Detection Using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)

Coste A, Wong AYS, Haguinet F, Bate A, Douglas IJ

Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety, 2025

Abstract

Background: There is little evidence about signal detection using UK primary care electronic health records (EHRs). The self controlled case series (SCCS) is one of the most promising methods for drug safety signal detection using real world data, and incorporating active comparators could potentially improve its performance by addressing confounding by indication.

Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the performance of the SCCS with and without active comparators for signal detection using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum.

Methods: We applied the SCCS to macrolide and fluoroquinolone antibiotics, using amoxicillin and cefalexin as active comparators. In total seven drugs, and 30 outcomes from all organ classes were selected. We developed a reference set of 104 positive controls and 58 negative controls, using a taxonomy framework to ensure the selected drug outcome pairs are theoretically well suited to the SCCS design. Two-year observation periods with a 30-day risk window after each dispensing were used. Diagnostic performance was measured using sensitivity and specificity with respect to the product labels.

Results: The sensitivity and specificity of the SCCS without active comparator in the 2017/2018 observation period were 0.57 and 0.77 when limited to pairs with satisfactory power. Specificity increased up to 0.89 with active comparators, however sensitivity decreased to 0.18. Five drug-outcome pairs were signals of disproportionality before…

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Evidence Hub reads this as a case series, done in people. Its evidence level is 5 of 5 (Very low · case / narrative / animal / in vitro / in silico). Case reports, narrative reviews, and animal, cell or computer-model studies give the weakest evidence for human health.

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