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The athlete microbiome project: integrating deep learning to reveal microbial associations of physical fitness

Lewis GS, Adejumo S, Reczek S, Malas J, Ramanauskas K, Walker JF, Cook MD, Horswill CA et al.

Physiological genomics, 2026

656 participants

Abstract

Regular physical training improves human fitness and health through direct effects on muscle and metabolism and indirect effects via alterations in gut microbiome composition. To determine whether athletes harbor a distinct gut microbiome and whether microbiome composition associates with established markers of physical fitness, maximum oxygen uptake (Vo2max) and percent fat-free mass, we conducted a secondary analysis of amplicon sequencing data and metadata from published human microbiota studies across three continents. Participants were categorized as athletes (n = 656) or nonathletes (n = 199). Using multivariate statistics, random forest models, and a multilayer perceptron neural network, we identified structured differences in gut microbiome composition associated with fitness metrics and athletic status. Random forest regression models explained up to 63% of the variance in percent fat-free mass and 45% in Vo2max, with taxa such as Faecalibacterium, Megamonas, Bifidobacterium, and Blautia ranking among the most informative predictive features across analyses. Classification models further demonstrated that athletic status could be predicted from microbiome composition: a mixed-effects-informed random forest achieved a balanced accuracy of 71%, whereas a multilayer perceptron captured coordinated, multivariate microbial patterns and achieved stable performance across stratified fivefold cross-validation and an independent held-out test set comprising 20% of samples…

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