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Plasma ACE2 and risk of death or cardiometabolic diseases: a case-cohort analysis

Sukrit Narula, S. Yusuf, M. Chong, C. Ramasundarahettige, S. Rangarajan, S. Bangdiwala, Martin van Eikels, K. Leineweber et al.

The Lancet, 2020

10 participants · 151 citations

Abstract

Background Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) is an endogenous counter-regulator of the renin–angiotensin hormonal cascade. We assessed whether plasma ACE2 concentrations were associated with greater risk of death or cardiovascular disease events. Methods We used data from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) prospective study to conduct a case-cohort analysis within a subset of PURE participants (from 14 countries across five continents: Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, and South America). We measured plasma concentrations of ACE2 and assessed potential determinants of plasma ACE2 levels as well as the association of ACE2 with cardiovascular events. Findings We included 10 753 PURE participants in our study. Increased concentration of plasma ACE2 was associated with increased risk of total deaths (hazard ratio [HR] 1·35 per 1 SD increase [95% CI 1·29–1·43]) with similar increases in cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths. Plasma ACE2 concentration was also associated with higher risk of incident heart failure (HR 1·27 per 1 SD increase [1·10–1·46]), myocardial infarction (HR 1·23 per 1 SD increase [1·13–1·33]), stroke (HR 1·21 per 1 SD increase [1·10–1·32]) and diabetes (HR 1·44 per 1 SD increase [1·36–1·52]). These findings were independent of age, sex, ancestry, and traditional cardiac risk factors. With the exception of incident heart failure events, the independent relationship of ACE2 with the clinical endpoints, including death, remained…

How strong is the evidence?

Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence. Reported size: 10 participants or records.

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