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Modifiable risk factors, cardiovascular disease and mortality in 155,722 individuals from 21 high-, middle-, and low-income countries

S. Yusuf, P. Joseph, S. Rangarajan, S. Islam, A. Mente, P. Hystad, M. Brauer, V. Kutty et al.

The Lancet, 2019

1,352 citations

Abstract

Background: Global estimates of the impact of common modifiable risk factors on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality are largely based on data from separate studies, using different methodologies. The Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study overcomes these limitations by using similar methodology to prospectively evaluate the impact of modifiable risk factors on CVD and mortality across 21 countries (spanning five continents) at different economic levels. Methods: In a multi-national, prospective cohort study, we examined associations for 14 potentially modifiable risk factors with mortality and major CVD in 155,722 community-dwelling participants (ages 35–70 years at enrollment) from 21 high-, middle-, or low-income countries (HIC, MIC or LIC) followed for a median of 9·5 years. We describe the prevalence, hazard ratios, and population attributable fractions (PAFs) for CVD and mortality associated with a cluster of behavioural factors (i.e. tobacco, alcohol, diet, physical activity and sodium intake), metabolic factors (i.e. lipids, blood pressure, diabetes, obesity), socioeconomic and psychosocial factors (i.e. education, symptoms of depression), strength, household (solid fuel for cooking) and ambient PM 2·5 air pollution. Findings: Mean age of the population was 50·2 years of age, 58·3% were female, 52·6% were from urban areas, 11·1% from HIC, 65·9% from MIC, and 23·0% from LIC. Over 70% of CVD cases and deaths in the overall cohort were attributed to…

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Evidence Hub reads this as a cohort study, done in people. Its evidence level is 3 of 5 (Moderate · trial / cohort / secondary analysis). Trials without a large randomized design, cohorts and secondary analyses give moderate evidence.

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