Physics-Informed Neural Network for Daily Canopy Size Forecasting in Strawberry Production Using Fused Weather and Image Embeddings
Abstract
Abstract Purpose The study aimed to develop a hybrid Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) architecture to forecast the daily strawberry canopy volume using weather data and image-derived inputs. Green pixel counts were used as a low-cost proxy for canopy volume and tracked canopy growth in two strawberry cultivars under real-world field conditions. The PINN architecture was chosen because it directly embeds known growth constraints into the learning process, enabling reliable predictions even with a few observations per day. Methods Two commercially important strawberry ( Fragaria × ananassa Duch.) cultivars, ‘Florida Brilliance’ and ‘FL 16.30–128’ (marketed as Florida Medallion™) were used in this study. Strawberry plant images were acquired at 15-minute intervals over 38 days and were used to train the PINN architecture along with 13 weather data points and accumulated Growing Degree Days (GDD). The PINN was composed of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) residual encoder and a trainable logistic growth curve driven by GDD. Biologically implausible canopy decline during GDD summation increases was penalized by the loss function. Results The Brilliance plant model yielded a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 6,996 pixels of canopy size and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.53%, while the Medallion plant model produced an MAE of 9,440 pixels and an MAPE of 16.4%. Both models outperformed a naive persistence baseline, which produced MAE values of 9,416 and 9,580 pixels for…
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